Fantasy Football Showdown: Josh Downs vs. Garrett Wilson – Who’s the Better WR Choice?
As the NFL season heats up, fantasy football players are analyzing every detail to maximize their weekly points. Two wide receivers, Josh Downs of the Indianapolis Colts and Garrett Wilson of the New York Jets, have emerged as promising options for fantasy rosters.1
Both players have shown big-play potential, making each an attractive asset for fantasy managers looking to bolster their lineups.
Table of Contents
Performance Analysis and Role in the Offense
Since joining the Colts, Josh Downs has showcased his ability to stretch the field and make critical catches. With the Colts battling to stay competitive in the AFC South, Downs has taken on a greater role in the offense, emerging as a reliable target.
His quickness and separation ability make him a deep threat, which translates into big plays and significant fantasy points in leagues that reward yardage and touchdowns.
Quarterback Connection and Usage
With quarterback Gardner Minshew stepping in due to Anthony Richardson’s injury, Downs has still managed to maintain strong production, showing versatility regardless of who’s under center.
Minshew’s style, which relies on quick passes and solid short-to-mid range throws, has allowed Downs to become a frequent target, especially on crucial third downs. This trust from the quarterback is valuable in fantasy, as it suggests a stable role in the offense.
Fantasy Points Potential and Consistency
- Downs’ deep-threat potential and his growing involvement in the red zone increase his value significantly. He has shown he can turn a single reception into substantial yardage, and his yards-after-catch ability makes him a high-reward option.
- Downs has been averaging consistent double-digit fantasy points in PPR (Points Per Reception) leagues, a testament to his consistency as he becomes more integral to the Colts’ offensive scheme.
- Garrett Wilson burst onto the scene with the Jets and has quickly become the team’s top receiving option. Known for his exceptional route-running and strong hands, Wilson can rack up receptions and yardage, especially in a Jets offense that often finds itself in need of big plays.
- With the Jets fighting to make an impact in a highly competitive AFC East, Wilson’s contributions have been crucial, and his big-play ability has shown that he can be a game-changer.
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Josh Downs: A Solid Fantasy Pick for Week 9?
In Week 9, Josh Downs of the Indianapolis Colts has emerged as a top fantasy pick, especially for managers looking to bolster their WR options. Downs is currently ranked at No. 20 on the FantasyPros projections board, with an expected 10.6 fantasy points.2
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High Usage and Emerging Role in Colts’ Offense
Downs has quickly become a reliable target for Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew, stepping into a primary role with impressive consistency.
His performance over the past few weeks has reflected his growing integration into the offensive scheme, and his big-play ability adds even more potential for fantasy points. Even with a deep WR roster, Downs has established himself as a go-to option, making him a worthwhile pick given his current trajectory.
Solid Fantasy Projections and PPR Value
The 10.6 projected fantasy points for Week 9 make Downs a high-upside WR3 or Flex play, particularly in PPR leagues where he benefits from a steady target share. As Minshew continues to rely on short-to-intermediate passes, Downs has shown the ability to turn quick catches into significant yardage, maximizing his value in PPR formats.
Favorable Matchup Against Weak Defensive Coverage
- This week, the Colts face a defense known for struggling against speedy receivers who excel in short-yardage plays. Downs’ skill set aligns well with exploiting these coverage gaps, making him a prime candidate for significant yardage and possibly red-zone looks.
- This favorable matchup, combined with his established role, makes him a solid fantasy start with the potential to exceed his 10.6-point projection.
- If you’re looking for a WR3 or Flex option with high potential and a stable role, Downs is a smart pick for Week 9.
- His combination of reliability, volume in PPR formats, and favorable matchup make him a valuable asset in fantasy lineups.
Joshua Downs: Rising Star of the NFL
Joshua Downs, born on August 12, 2001, has rapidly emerged as a prominent figure in professional football, now playing as a wide receiver for the Indianapolis Colts in the National Football League (NFL). His athletic journey began with a remarkable college career at the University of North Carolina, where he showcased elite skills that set him apart.
With sharp route-running, exceptional speed, and a knack for making clutch plays, Downs has transitioned these attributes seamlessly into the NFL, where he’s become an asset for the Colts and a promising talent in the league.
Early Life and Beginnings in Football
Growing up in Georgia, Downs was immersed in a sports-centric family, with relatives who had their own football careers, providing him both inspiration and guidance from a young age. His athletic talent was evident, and it was at North Gwinnett High School that he first gained attention as a potential future star.
Downs excelled on the high school football field, particularly as a wide receiver, combining speed, agility, and impressive hand-eye coordination that set him apart. His high school success paved the way for his college career, earning him recruitment offers from multiple universities before choosing the University of North Carolina.
Indianapolis Colts WR Josh Downs questionable vs. Titans https://t.co/8RHDm94oib pic.twitter.com/K2n0Ouwh5S
— TheColtsWire (@TheColtsWire) October 12, 2024
College Career at North Carolina
Upon joining the North Carolina Tar Heels, Downs quickly made an impact. He began as a freshman in 2020, showing glimpses of his capabilities with limited snaps. By his sophomore season, Downs became the team’s primary receiving option, putting up incredible numbers and breaking multiple records.
Transition to the NFL: Joining the Indianapolis Colts
- Drafted by the Colts in 2023, Downs entered the league with high expectations. Indianapolis sought to enhance its receiving options, and Downs’ addition to the roster provided a fresh dynamic to their offensive lineup.
- His transition from college to the professional stage presented challenges, as he adjusted to the speed and complexity of NFL defenses, but Downs adapted quickly and began to showcase his skills in his rookie season.
- In his early games with the Colts, Downs demonstrated the abilities that had made him a standout in college. His connection with Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew grew quickly, allowing him to deliver reliable performances week after week.
- Downs emerged as a solid option in the slot position, where he utilized his agility and speed to exploit defensive mismatches. His consistent hands and ability to gain yardage after the catch solidified his value within the team’s offensive scheme.
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Professional Career: Joshua Downs’ Journey to the NFL and Early Success with the Colts
Joshua Downs, a standout wide receiver out of North Carolina, entered the NFL as the Indianapolis Colts’ third-round pick (79th overall) in the 2023 NFL Draft.
His draft selection was part of a pivotal exchange for the Colts, as they acquired the 79th pick by trading former quarterback Carson Wentz to the Washington Commanders. This strategic move provided Indianapolis the opportunity to strengthen their offensive lineup with a young, explosive receiver like Downs.
Transitioning from College to Professional Football
Downs had already made a name for himself as a talented receiver during his college years at North Carolina. Known for his impressive route-running skills, quick acceleration, and strong hands, he was one of the top performers in college football.
His quick ability to separate from defenders and his tenacity in contested catches were widely recognized, making him a top prospect. Downs’ collegiate success caught the attention of NFL scouts and analysts, and he was projected to be an impact player for any team that took a chance on him.
Early Impressions and Rookie Impact
Joshua Downs quickly earned the respect of his coaches and teammates with his performance during training camp and preseason games. From the start, he demonstrated an ability to adjust to the NFL’s speed and physicality, and his work ethic caught the attention of Colts’ head coach Shane Steichen and offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter.
Both coaches saw Downs as a player who could excel not only as a slot receiver but also in other key areas of the field, thanks to his versatility and consistent playmaking ability.
Building Chemistry with the Colts’ Quarterbacks
Downs quickly developed chemistry with the Colts’ quarterbacks, particularly with rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson. The two rookies have formed a strong connection on the field, often appearing in sync during critical plays.
Josh Downs’ Contract Breakdown with the Indianapolis Colts
After being selected in the third round of the 2023 NFL Draft, Josh Downs and the Indianapolis Colts agreed to a four-year contract worth $5,520,459. This deal demonstrates the Colts’ investment in Downs as a significant piece of their offensive future, offering him stability and financial backing as he develops into his professional career.
Contract Terms and Structure
- Downs’ contract spans four years, extending through the 2026 season. This period provides a window for Downs to make an impact and potentially secure a more lucrative contract based on his performance.
- The total contract value of $5,520,459 includes both guaranteed money and bonuses that are fairly standard for a third-round selection but reflect the team’s confidence in his abilities.
- The terms of his contract are structured to provide $1,014,880 in signing bonuses, which he received upon signing. The signing bonus serves as an upfront payment that guarantees immediate earnings for Downs, regardless of future performance or team decisions.
- This amount, part of his total guaranteed money of $1,014,880, assures Downs that he has a financial foundation as he starts his professional career.
Annual Salary and Cap Implications
The average annual salary for Downs under this contract is $1,380,115. This amount represents the typical yearly earnings Downs can expect, though the structure of NFL contracts often includes changes in base salary and cap hits as the contract progresses. For 2024, Downs’ base pay is set at $1,000,930.
In terms of cap implications, Downs will have a $1,254,650 cap hit in 2024. This cap hit is the amount that his contract counts against the Colts’ salary cap, a critical factor for teams managing overall roster spending limits. The cap hit accounts for his base salary and portions of his signing bonus, distributed over the contract term for balance.
Future Financial and Performance Potential
Downs’ initial contract positions him within the Colts’ plans for the next four seasons. Given the favorable terms and the Colts’ investment in him, this contract offers him a platform to establish himself as a standout receiver in the league.
If he performs well over these years, Downs could see opportunities for contract renegotiations, extensions, or increased endorsement deals as he builds his career.
FAQ’S
1. Who has the better matchup in Week 9: Josh Downs or Garrett Wilson?
Ans: Josh Downs faces the Carolina Panthers, who have struggled against wide receivers, offering a favorable matchup that could lead to more opportunities and yards. Garrett Wilson, on the other hand, faces a tougher matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers’ secondary, known for their tight coverage. Based on matchup alone, Downs may have the edge this week.
2. Who has shown more consistent production recently: Downs or Wilson?
Ans: Garrett Wilson has had more consistent target volume as the Jets’ primary receiver, though his production has fluctuated due to New York’s offensive struggles. Josh Downs has emerged as a reliable option in the Colts’ offense, posting solid numbers in recent weeks, making him a strong WR3 or flex play option if he continues getting the targets.
3. How does quarterback play affect Downs and Wilson’s Week 9 outlook?
Ans: Josh Downs benefits from a more consistent offensive system under Gardner Minshew, who has shown good chemistry with Downs. Garrett Wilson’s production largely depends on Zach Wilson’s performance, which has been inconsistent. This may favor Downs in Week 9, given Minshew’s steady play compared to Wilson’s variable output.
4. What role will each receiver play in their respective offenses this week?
Ans: Garrett Wilson will likely serve as the Jets’ primary receiving threat, which means more targets but also tighter defensive coverage. Josh Downs plays a complementary role to Michael Pittman Jr., which could give him more flexibility to exploit weaker matchups and gather chunk yards, especially against a vulnerable Carolina defense.
5. Who is the better start in Week 9: Downs or Wilson?
Ans: Given the favorable matchup, recent production, and quarterback play, Josh Downs may be the safer start in Week 9. Downs has shown consistency, while Garrett Wilson’s value is tied closely to the Jets’ unpredictable offense. If you need a reliable WR3 or flex option, Downs may be a strong choice, though Wilson could still deliver if the Jets’ offense surprises.
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